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Sr. Commercial Analytics Manager, ForecastingNeurocrine Biosciences • San Diego, California, United States
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Sr. Commercial Analytics Manager, Forecasting

Neurocrine Biosciences
  • US
    San Diego, California, United States
  • US
    San Diego, California, United States
Apply Now

About

Who We Are
Neurocrine Biosciences is a leading biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering, developing, and commercializing life‑changing treatments for patients with under‑addressed neurological, psychiatric, endocrine, and immunological disorders. About the Role
The forecasting team within the Commercial Analytics and Operations group is responsible for accurately forecasting inline and soon‑to‑launch products, including detailed quarterly expectations, current year forecasts, and long‑range planning. The Senior Manager of Forecasting reports to the Director of Forecasting and Analytics and initially manages forecasting and reporting activities for inline products. The role frequently interacts with senior and executive management and works cross‑functionally across the organization. Your Contributions
Collaborate with key business partners to develop short‑ and long‑range forecasts, integrating emerging market dynamics and competitive assessments. Leverage primary market research, secondary data sources, patient‑based analytics, and commercial performance metrics to develop robust, evidence‑based forecasting models. Drive continuous improvement of forecasting methodologies, analytical tools, and business processes to improve forecast accuracy, efficiency, and decision‑making. Collaborate with Marketing and Commercial Insights & Analytics to identify research initiatives, competitive intelligence needs, and analytical opportunities that strengthen forecast quality and business understanding. Develop and maintain advanced forecasting and scenario‑planning models, including sensitivity analyses and Monte Carlo simulations, to assess uncertainty and quantify business risks and opportunities. Prepare and present forecasting analyses, key assumptions, risks, opportunities, and recommendations to senior leadership and executive audiences. Monitor forecast performance and accuracy through ongoing business reviews, dashboards, and analytics; identify key drivers of variance and implement model enhancements where appropriate. Support Incentive Compensation process by translating forecasts into actionable sales targets. Work with the Commercial Analytics and Advanced Analytics functions on ad‑hoc requests using patient‑level and national‑level datasets and integrate findings into models. Regularly communicate with senior executives and strategic partners to report analytical findings and their impacts on the forecasts, inventory management, and key performance metrics/indicators. Cultivate strong collaborative partnerships throughout the organization and serve as a trusted resource for forecasting expertise and business insights. Support enterprise planning activities including Annual Operating Plan (AOP), Long‑Range Planning (LRP), Supply & Operations Planning (SOP), and portfolio planning processes. Requirements
BA/BS in business, finance, or STEM discipline with 8+ years of experience, or MBA with 6+ years of experience in forecasting, market research, consulting, or other analytical work in the pharma, biotech, or life sciences industries. Ability to balance exceptional technical expertise with strong strategic thinking and practical business acumen. Advanced proficiency in Microsoft Office (PowerPoint and Excel) is required; proficiency with simulation software (e.g., Crystal Ball, @RISK) is a plus. Strong understanding of the pharmaceutical sales cycle from wholesaler to patient. Familiarity with pharmaceutical data sources (e.g., IQVIA, Value Centric) and ability to communicate data insights and concepts with clarity and passion. Familiarity with patient and TRx forecasting and modeling techniques that support various types of strategic analytics (forecasting, business analytics, sales incentive modeling). Persuasive communication/influencing skills and executive presence required, including the ability to present quantitative data in a clear and effective manner to all levels of management. Candidates with strong analytical capabilities without forecasting experience are also encouraged to apply. Benefits
Competitive salary range: $158,100.00 – $216,000.00 (annual base). Annual bonus with a target of 30% of the earned base salary. Eligibility to participate in an equity‑based long‑term incentive program. Retirement savings plan with company match. Paid vacation, holiday, and personal days; paid caregiver/parental and medical leave. Health benefits including medical, prescription drug, dental, and vision coverage. Recognition as a FORTUNE Best Workplace in Biopharma™ 2025 and Great Place to Work® Certified company. EEO Statement
Neurocrine Biosciences is an EEO/Disability/Vets employer. We are committed to building a workplace of belonging, respect, and empowerment, and we recognize there are a variety of ways to meet our requirements. We are looking for the best candidate for the job and encourage you to apply even if your experience or qualifications don’t line up to exactly what we have outlined in the job description.
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  • San Diego, California, United States

Languages

  • English
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